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Provisional 2016 GCSE Results for Kent

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NOTES: The media have not covered this story in general at at the time this article was published,  as they are waiting for government to provide downloadable tables to enable them more  easily carry out the analysis I have completed below. These results are provisional and last year a number of school saw a small improvement in results in the final version published  in December.

This year the long established 5 A*-C GCSE league table including English and maths has gone, to be replaced by two new assessments, Progress 8 and Attainment 8. Both these are measured by an arcane formula combining results in eight curriculum subjects to produce numbers whose meaning and spread is very difficult to comprehend, but enable schools to be placed in an order.

Meopham 2

Overall Kent emerges well, although there is a variety of statistics to choose from to suit your case. They are issued at this time to enable families to be better informed when making secondary school choices.

The key measure is Progress 8 (full table here) which looks at progress from the end of primary school to the end of Year 11, comparing pupils to others nationally, who begin from the same starting point, with Kent slightly below average at -0.03, against a National average of -0.02. There is a single floor standard which schools are expected to achieve, which turns out to be -0.5, and eight Kent secondary schools fail to meet this. Highest rated school by this measures is Tunbridge Wells Girls’ Grammar with +0.81, followed by Tonbridge Grammar at +0.76, and Skinners at +0.67. Highest non-selective schools are Bennett Memorial and St Simon Stock, ninth equal at +0.52, followed by Meopham at +0.48.

NTC6

Attainment 8 (full table here) simply measures what it says, with Kent doing better than average with 50.3, against a National score of 49.8. Here, Kent is above average at 50.3 against a National Average of 49.8., Tonbridge Grammar School leads the way with 76.6, followed by Judd, 74.7 and Tunbridge Wells Girls, 73.7. Highest non selective scores are Bennett, 56.6, Duke of York’s 54.6 and St Simon Stock 53.3. At the other end of the scale there are ten schools below 40.0, which may (but shouldn’t) be compared with the previous government floor standard of 40%.

There are further details of the outcomes below, along with a look at another measure the English Baccalaureate. I will look at Medway outcomes shortly. 
Progress 8
Both Progress 8 and Attainment 8 are measured across eight subjects, English maths, 3 qualifications including sciences, computer science, history, geography and languages, and 3 other additional approved qualifications. The target national average score is 0, with most schools being between +1 and -1. The government floor standard, or expectation is to be above -0.5, in which case “the school may come under increased scrutiny and receive additional support”.

I am not sure that in Kent, with the grammar schools dominating the top of the table, this proves they necessarily offer better teaching; rather, there is a strong element of – ‘brighter pupils can be stretched further’. I think it no coincidence that the table is dominated by super-selective and West Kent grammar schools. Other high performers are: Folkestone Girls; Dartford Girls; Simon Langton Boys; and Maidstone Girls. 

Selective Progress 8 Scores for 2016
HighestLowest
All "Well Above Average"
Close to National Average
SchoolScoreSchoolScore
Tunbridge Wells Girls0.81Oakwood Park-0.08
Tonbridge0.76Dane Court0.04
Skinners0.67Queen Elizabeth's0.07
Invicta0.63Wilmington Boys0.07
Judd0.58Mayfield0.08
Dartford0.63Sir Roger Manwood's0.10
Weald of Kent 0.54Dover Boys0.12
 
Progress 8 Non-Selective Schools
For non-selectives, no surprise that Bennett and St Simon Stock church schools dominate the table, with a better result than over half the grammar schools, but the next half dozen – Meopham (currently the subject of the controversial new grammar school proposal) , Orchards Academy, Northfleet Technology College, Skinners Kent Academy, and St Anselm’s Catholic schools - with no obvious advantages or headlines as high performers clearly stand out as schools with good teaching and learning. I am sure it is no coincidence that Skinners’ Kent Academy was recently found ‘Outstanding’ by OFSTED.

Other non-selective schools with ‘above average’ progress are: Westlands, St George’s CofE Foundation School (Broadstairs), St Gregory’s Catholic, King Ethelbert, St George’s CofE School (Gravesham), and Valley Park. These all have a higher Progress 8 Measure than fifteen of the grammar schools.  

At the foot of the table, are seven non-selectives who are below the government floor standard and must be concerned at their performance, which may well reflect on teaching and learning. These will be picked up by OFSTED on their next Inspection which will be brought forward, using this measure as a new key standard.  At the foot of the table is Royal Harbour Academy (also at the foot of the Attainment 8 table). Partially this can be blamed on its current situation, having only last year taken in the pupils of the disgraced and now closed Marlowe Academy, for it will still take some time to achieve a single student body. Five other schools also share the bottom end of both tables: Hartsdown, currently making the news with its change of regime tightening up on standards, but with a very high proportion of socially disadvantaged pupils; Pent Valley, now closed because of poor standards; Oasis Academy Isle of Sheppey, whose disastrous leadership I have written about frequently, the most recent Principal having jumped ship after a less than glorious reign; New Line Learning Academy, whose Principal is leaving, possibly pushed out by yet another poor set of results; and poor old Swadelands, at the other end of Maidstone, which rarely appears to have anything good to say, and is now being swallowed up by Valley Invicta Academy Trust. 

Non-Selective Progress 8 Scores for 2016
Highest  Lowest
SchoolScoreSchoolScore
"Well Above Average"
"Well Below Average" and
below Floor Level of -0.5
Bennett Memorial0.52Royal Harbour-1.16
St Simon Stock0.52Holmesdale-0.76
"Above Average"Hartsdown -0.74
Meopham School0.48Pent Valley-.68
Orchards Academy0.45Swadelands-0.67
Northfleet Technology0.35Oasis Isle of Sheppey-0.58
Skinners Kent Academy0.34Aylesford-0.54
St Anselm's Catholic0.28

New Line Learning

-0.51
 
Attainment 8
Here, scores come out as looking somewhat like a GCSE league table, but flattened at the top, with the score of 40 looking very similar in terms of number of schools reaching it as last year’s Floor Level of5 GCSE A-Cs.  
Not surprisingly, here the grammar schools sweep the table completely, the top five being pretty predictable. Of special note is Tunbridge Wells Girls’ Grammar, the only school of the five to admit most of their intake with no element of super-selection, and of course top in the Progress table. Other high performers are Dartford Girls;Invicta; Weald of Kent and Highworth. At the foot of both tables are Oakwood Park, Dover Boys and Wilmington Boys, three boys’ grammar schools. As it is not clear what the numbers mean, all one can say is that the students of other grammar schools perform better by this measure.
Selective Attainment 8 Scores 2016
HighestLowest
SchoolScoreSchoolScore
Tonbridge76.6 Oakwood Park 61.1
Judd 74.7 Dover Boys 61.7
Tonbridge Wells Girls 73.3 Wilmington Boys 62.2
 Dartford 72.2 Harvey63.4 
 Skinners71.6  Borden  63.9
 
Non-Selective Attainment 8
The highly selective Bennett Memorial Diocesan again tops the non-selective table, with St Simon Stock third. In between is Duke of York’s Military School, a boarding academy mainly offering places to children of the military from across the country. Next is St Gregory’s Catholic, meaning the two tables as so often are dominated by church schools.
 However, I am considerably surprised, but pleased with the next four schools in the list, none having the advantages of many other schools. It is clear that Meopham, in fifth place, also third in the Progress table, and Northfleet Technology College, eighth in Attainment, and fifth in the Progress table, both schools in Gravesham, owe their Attainment place by seeing great improvement over KS2 results at admission. In particular, NTC’s success is all the more pleasing because of its catchment area which contains considerable areas of social deprivation and shows what outstanding leadership can achieve in such areas.   
 
All four of these top performers, including Maplesden Noakes and Leigh Academy, were average in the GCSE list last year, perhaps suggesting that Attainment 8 is measuring something different, but no less praiseworthy for that. Other high scorers are: Dartford Science & Technology College; St John's Catholic Comprehensive; Valley Park; and Hillview.
 
 At the foot of the table apart from the six schools also at the bottom of the Progress 8 table, are Hadlow Rural Community School and Folkestone Academy. This is the first year that Hadlow has seen a GCSE group through, their having transferred to this new school two years ago, Hadlow students having made average progress from their KS2 starting points. Folkestone Academy has made below average progress for its students, hopefully not shaping up to be another Marlowe under the same leadership. 
 
Non-Selective Attainment 8 Scores 2016
HighestLowest
SchoolScoreSchoolScore
Bennett Memorial56.6Royal Harbour31.5
Duke of York's Military54.6Hartsdown 32.4
St Simon Stock Catholic53.3Oasis Sheppey36.9
St Gregory's Catholic50.5Pent Valley37.3
Meopham 49.8New Line Learning37.4
Maplesden Noakes 49.5Swadelands38.0
Leigh Academy49.1Hadlow Rural38.2
Northfleet Technology48.8Folkestone Academy39.4
 
English Baccalaureate
This is a third measure towards which the government was trying to nudge schools, by measuring the percentage of pupils achieving a Grade C or better in five specific subject areas: English, maths, a science, a language, and history or geography. It is designed to encourage schools towards more academic subjects and away from those thought intellectually easier, which government considers is an easy way to score, although Progress 8 and Attainment 8 already go some way towards that.
 
The top two schools, Dartford Grammar School, 99% and Tonbridge Grammar 95%, are both geared specifically to this measure as their students are already following the International Baccalaureate which has similar constraints. Tunbridge Wells Girl’s Grammar is not far behind, with 94%, then a dip to Maidstone Girls 88% and Weald of Kent 87%. Once again Bennett Memorial is top non-selective school, with 43%, but this time above two grammar schools: Oakwood Park 39% and Dover Boys 26%.
Other high performing non-selective schools are Valley Park, 27%, St Gregory’s Catholic 26%, and Dartford Science and Technology 24%. Lowest are Aylesford School 1%, Oasis Academy Isle of Sheppey, SchoolsCompany The Goodwin Academy, Astor College and Dover Christ Church Academy all on 2%. 

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