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Kent Test 2020: Initial Results and Comment

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Please Note: Still being finalised, but published to be in place for 4 p.m.

The Kent Test results have set the pass mark at an aggregate of 332, slightly higher than last year, with a requirement to score 108 on each of the three sections - English, mathematics, and reasoning, slightly lower than 2019’s 110 on each. The level of pass marks is no indication of difficulty in the Test, rather a complex standardisation of raw scores against a national sample of children, comparing like ages with each other. The intention is to select 21% of the Kent cohort by this method for automatic selection along with another four per cent by Headteacher Assessment, as explained here, making up a target of 25%. In the event this year, 25.4% of the cohort, comprising all of Kent’s Year six cohort in primary schools, added to all Kent private school pupils who took the Test, were found selective, down from last year’s 26.6%.

Although there was a fall of 522 in the number of children taking the Test overall this year, 194 additional children were found selective over the 2019 figure. This is purely due to an increase in the number of out of county passes, with 74 fewer Kent children found selective, details in the table below.   

The Test, taken a month later than planned because of the Coronavirus pandemic, will certainly have seen a slightly different profile of children passing as explained in previous articles here, most recently here. However, until I get more detailed data on outcomes later this year it will not be clear how different. The KCC Press Release describing the Test carefully focuses on the view of Richard Long, Cabinet Member for Education that: ‘Kent has done everything in its power to ensure that families were given a fair and safe way to apply for Kent Secondary schools this year’ referring to this fact twice, but without mentioning what KCC had done if anything to make the Kent Test as fair as possible.

Please note that this article has been produced to meet the Thursday 4 p.m. deadline for release of results and is likely to be revised at my leisure, if I have any over the next three weeks!  

I explore all these matters further below, along with sections on Sources of Information and Advice on admissions and appeals, Out of County Children, and Pressure Points

There is considerable information and advice on admissions and appeals to Kent schools, including grammar schools specifically, on the right-hand side of this page together with links to important articles. In response to multiple enquiries each year you cannot: appeal the Kent Test Results; challenge the Head Teacher Assessment; or arrange a late HTA.  What you can do is apply for one or more grammar schools and then appeal against decision of the schools to turn you down if your child did not pass the Kent Test. You will find the parallel article for the Medway test here

Please do not try and post comments about individual situations. This is not a forum.  I am afraid I have retired from offering individual advice.

KCC have made individual test scores available to parents who registered online from shortly after 1 p.m. today Thursday 26th November. As last year, I  shall be publishing a second article later when I receive more data from KCC. You will find initial figures released by KCC below, mainly taken from the official press release, together with further information. I find that the information articles on this website (right hand side of this article and every page of the website), with links below, answer the majority of questions I receive. 

The proportion of Kent boys being found suitable for grammar school by the selection process has been slightly higher than that for girls in recent years; for the 2019 Test, it was 27.1% for boys and 26.2% for girls, but I don't have this year's data yet. 

Although KCC cannot guarantee every Kent child who has passed a place in a Kent grammar school (and not necessarily of their choice), there were few reported cases in recent years of grammar qualified Kent children  who were looking for a place not being offered one, the exceptions last year being the Greenhithe/Ebbsfleet area of NW Kent, and in rural Thanet, with some boys around Herne Bay also having to go to appeal. Further thoughts below. 

Kent Test Results 2020 For Admission in 2021
 Kent SchoolsOut of County & Other 
 BoysGirlsTotalBoysGirlsTotal
Grand
Total
Sat Kent Test 2020      15,634
Assessed Suitable
For Grammar
Admission 2021
  4867  30627929
Sat Kent Test 2019599157701136124832312479516156
Assessed Suitable
For Grammar
Admission 2020
 2588 23834941 1474 149427947735
Sat Kent Test 201858375465 11302 2657 2615 571216656
Assessed Suitable
For Grammar
Admission 2019
 2319
 2283
4641
1530
 1535
 
3065
7706
Sat Kent Test 20175185552810713  483215937
Assessed Suitable
For Grammar
Admission 2018
213822774650  27577407
Some 350 additional children are eligible for a single grammar school through success in the Dover, Shepway, Mayfield (Gravesend Girls) or Highsted (Sittingbourne Girls) Tests.
Notes: (1) I don't yet have data for boys and girls differentiated for this year, but will include this as soon as it is available
        (2)  'Other' includes children who are home educated. 
        (3) Some totals will be changed, as late adjustments are made.
 
Sources of Information and Advice
You should always speak to your primary headteacher who should have an objective view and knowledge of your local situation.

For further information, you will find Oversubscription and vacancies in Kent Grammar schools for September 2020 provides considerable information on pressure of places, as does the page on Kent Grammar School Applications for Entry in 2021. There is a series of pages on Individual Kent Secondary Schools, which also contain additional information on each school, including take-up of places, OFSTED Ratings, Examination Performance, and Appeal Statistics together with other important news, comment and information. I am afraid I am behind in updating some of these pages (look at update date in top left-hand corner), so if you would like more up recent information on a particular school, please let me know. Also try entering the name of the school you are interested in in the Website Search engine: this may provide other news, comment and information articles about that school over recent years.

I have now published an article on school appeals statistics for secondary and primary schools for entry in September 2020, with appeals data for individual schools in the Individual Schools section.  In the meantime you may wish to consult the relevant information pages for Kent Grammar School Appeals or Oversubscription Appeals, the latter for both non-selective and grammar schools,

Out Of County Children
I believe the sharp rise in the number of OOC children passing the Kent Test is a direct consequence of the coronavirus pandemic, with such families often prepared to invest heavily in tutoring, being paralleled by a sharp increase in Medway Test outcomes (where once again there are more OOC passes than those by Medway children!). However, the decisions in recent years by a number of Kent grammar schools to give priority for the large majority of their places to local children, namely, Judd, Skinners, and Wilmington Girls & Boys means there are considerably fewer opportunities for OOC children to secure places in Kent grammars. Indeed for 2020 entry the number of OOCs being allocated to Kent grammar school places remained very low at 408, similar to the 399 in 2019 but much lower than the 565 in 2018. Of these 150 OOC children were offered places at just two Kent schools, Dartford Grammar and Dartford Grammar Girls.

I suspect the overwhelming majority of those 2386 OOCs who passed the Kent Test but were not offered places in Kent grammars will have had other preferences met, including the M25 tourists, whose poor children take grammar school tests all around the ring.

Pressure Points(to be updated for this year)
Kent County Council gives the number of grammar school places to be provided for September 2021 as 5550, up from 5305 last year. However this figure is misleading as there are different ways of assessing it, temporary places having been stripped out to produce the figures, although most will remain in practice. In addition, some grammar schools increase their intake further in response to demand. Basically, no one will know authoritatively until schools make final decisions in the months leading up to next March. You will find all the relevant individual secondary school statistics for 2020 entry here.  However, an indeterminate proportion of grammar qualified Kent children will not take up places in Kent grammar schools this summer, many especially in West Kent, opting for private schools and others choosing grammar schools in other Authorities. This year 154 Kent children (223 the previous year) were allocated places in grammar schools outside the county, of whom 120 were to places in Medway schools.

The main pressure areas are usually West and North West Kent and Whitstable/Herne Bay. In West Kent all Kent girls should get a grammar school place in the District, not always the one of their choice, because of the opening of the Weald of Kent annexe. The boys’ situation has eased considerably with additional places being put into all three schools and the two super-selectives, Judd and Skinners, now both giving priority for most of their places to local boys. There is always a shakedown in West Kent and some grammar qualified boys may need to go to appeal as in previous years, but all have been successful at one of the schools in previous years, to the best of my knowledge.

North West Kent continues to have the greatest pressure, caused by enormous numbers applying from London Boroughs, Dartford Grammar turning away 409 grammar qualified first choices last year (and rising year on year, up from 336 in 2019) and, along with the girls rejecting local applicants whose pass scores were not high enough (disgracefully and contrary to promises made to the Schools Adjudicator when he approved their new arrangements). However, the two Wilmington Grammars now give priority mainly to Kent children and although they have increased greatly in popularity should pick up all local children who have qualified and choose them, as the number of out of county siblings continues to fall. Last year there was a specific problem for boys and girls in the Greenhithe/Ebbsfleet area, but in the end, I believe that all who wished secured places at one of the Gravesend grammars or at Wilmington. 

Whitstable/Herne Bay has been difficult for boys, with no local grammar school and extensive building development in the area, and from 2019 Simon Langton Boys has increased its number of places by 30 to 150 which appeared to eliminate the problem for 2019 entry, but it returned in 2020. There is not a problem in capacity for girls in the city as Simon Langton Girls always has vacancies, although this may change with the new premises being built. 

There was a particular and unexpected problem in Thanet for 2020 entry, as explained here. It is not clear if appeals outcomes resolved the problems.

 In other areas the situation can be fluid, and the 5550 places will certainly expand further, with temporary increases in some schools as schools measure demand and capacity.

There will always be horror stories about pressure on grammar school places -they make good media copy, especially with proposals to expand grammar school places (but expansion has been happening for years without legislation and will no doubt continue). The reality is that six of the 32 Kent grammar schools had vacancies last March on allocation for the second year running, spread across the county apart from the West and NW, although most of these will have been filled after appeal, along with additional places found in other grammar schools.

Finally
Whatever your situation, I wish you all the best in securing a place at the school of your choice. I am conscious that having to make decisions before Test outcomes are known will have been especially stressful, but the increase to six choices should have resolved most problems. 


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